Everything about The Genuine Progress Indicator totally explained
The
Genuine Progress Indicator (GPI) is a concept in
green economics and
welfare economics that has been suggested to replace
gross domestic product (GDP) as a metric of
economic growth.
GPI is an attempt to measure whether or not a country's growth, increased production of goods, and expanding services have actually resulted in the improvement of the welfare (or
well-being) of the people in the country. GPI advocates claim that it can more reliably measure economic progress, as it distinguishes between worthwhile growth and
uneconomic growth.
The GDP vs the GPI is analogous to the difference between the Gross Profit of a company and the Net Profit; the Net Profit is the Gross Profit minus the costs incurred. Accordingly, the GPI will be zero if the financial costs of crime and pollution equal the financial gains in production of goods and services, all other factors being constant.
Motivation
Most economists assess the progress in welfare of the people by comparing the gross domestic product over time, that is, by adding up the annual dollar value of all goods and services produced within a country over successive years. However, GDP was never intended to be used for such purpose. It is prone to
productivism or
consumerism, over-valuing production and consumption of goods, and not reflecting improvement in human
well-being.
Simon Kuznets, the inventor of the GDP, notes in his very first report to the US Congress in 1934:
...the welfare of a nation [can] scarcely be inferred from a measure of national income...
An adequate measure must also take into account
ecological yield and the ability of nature to provide
services. These things are part of a more inclusive ideal of progress, which transcends the traditional focus on raw industrial production.
Theoretical foundation
The need for a
GPI to replace biased indicators such as
GDP was highlighted by analyses of
uneconomic growth in the 1980s notably that of
Marilyn Waring who studied biases in the
UN System of National Accounts.
By the early 1990s there was a consensus in
human development theory and
ecological economics that growth in
money supply was actually reflective of a loss of well-being: that lacks of essential natural and social services were being paid for in cash and that this was expanding the economy but degrading life.
The matter remains controversial and is a main issue between advocates of
green economics and
neo-classical economics. Neoclassical economists understand the limitations of GDP for measuring human wellbeing but nevertheless regard GDP as an important, though imperfect measure of economic output and would be wary of too close an identification of GDP growth with aggregate human welfare. However GDP tends to be reported as synonymous with economic progress by journalists and politicians and the GPI seeks to correct this shorthand by providing a more encompassing measure.
Some economists, notably
Herman Daly,
John Cobb and
Philip Lawn have asserted that a country's growth, increased goods production, and expanding services have both "costs" and "benefits"--not just the "benefits" that contribute to GDP. They assert that, in some situations, expanded production facilities damage the health, culture, and welfare of people. Growth that was in excess of sustainable norms (for example of
ecological yield) had to be considered to be
uneconomic. According to the "threshold hypothesis", developed by
Manfred Max-Neef, the notion that
when macroeconomic systems expand beyond a certain size, the additional benefits of growth are exceeded by the attendant costs. (Max-Neef 1995.)
According to Lawn's model, the "costs" of economic activity include the following potential harmful effects:
- Cost of resource depletion
- Cost of crime
- Cost of ozone depletion
- Cost of family breakdown
- Cost of air, water, and noise pollution
- Loss of farmland
- Loss of wetlands
Analysis by
Robert Costanza also around 1995 of
nature's services and their value showed that a great deal of degradation of nature's ability to clear waste, prevent erosion, pollinate crops, etc., was being done in the name of monetary profit opportunity: this was adding to GDP but causing a great deal of long term risk in the form of mudslides, reduced yields, lost species, water pollution, etc.. Such effects have been very marked in areas that suffered serious
deforestation, notably
Haiti,
Indonesia, and some coastal
mangrove regions of
India and
South America. Some of the worst land abuses for instance have been
shrimp farming operations that destroyed mangroves, evicted families, left coastal lands salted and useless for agriculture, but generated a significant cash profit for those who were able to control the export market in shrimp: this has become a signal example to those who contest the idea that GDP growth is necessarily desirable.
GPI takes account auf these problems by incorporating
sustainability: whether a country's economic activity over a year has left the country with a better or worse future possibility of repeating at least the same level of economic activity in the long run. For example, agricultural activity that uses replenishing water resources, such as river runoff, will score a higher GPI than the same level of agricultural activity that drastically lowers the water table by pumping irrigation water from wells.
"Income" vs. "capital depletion"
Hicks (1946) pointed out that the practical purpose of calculating income is to indicate the maximum amount people can produce and consume without undermining their capacity to produce and consume the same amount in the future. From a national income perspective, it's necessary to answer the following question: ‘‘Can a nation’s entire GDP be consumed without undermining its ability to produce and consume the same GDP in the future?’’
"Enjoyment of life" vs. "production of goods"
Fisher (1906) contended that "economic welfare depends on the psychic enjoyment of life," not just the production of goods.
Results
At least 11 countries (including Austria, England, Sweden and Germany) have recalculated their gross domestic product using the GPI. The data for European countries and the United States shows a steady decline over the last 30 years
Applying the Genuine Progress Indicator to legislative decisions
The best known attempt to apply a GPI to legislative decisions is probably the
GPI Atlantic
indicator pioneered by Ronald Colman for
Nova Scotia, the
Alberta GPI
pioneered by economist
Mark Anielski to measure the long-term economic, social and environmental sustainability of the province of
Alberta and the
environmental and sustainable development indicators used by the
Government of Canada to measure its own
progress to achieving well-being goals: its
Environment and Sustainable Development Indicators Initiative (Canada)
is a substantial effort to justify
state services in
GPI terms. It assigns the
Commissioner for the Environment and Sustainable Development (Canada)
, an officer in the
Auditor-General of Canada's office, to perform the analysis and report to the
House of Commons.
This hasn't satisfied the stricter advocates of GPI, however: Canada continues to state its overall budgetary targets in terms of reducing its
debt to GDP ratio, which implies that GDP increase and debt reduction in some combination are its main priorities.
In the
EU the
Metropole efforts and the
London Health Observatory methods are equivalents focused mostly on urban lifestyle.
The EU and Canadian efforts are among the most advanced in any of the
G8 or
OECD nations, but there are parallel efforts to measure
quality of life or
standard of living in
health (not strictly
wealth) terms in all
developed nations. This has also been a recent focus of the
labour movement.
The term
Gross National Happiness was coined by the king of
Bhutan.
Supporting countries
Netherlands
France
Germany
Canada planning applications
. GDP has functioned as an "income sheet." GPI will function as a "balance sheet," taking into consideration that some income sources are very costly and contribute a negative profit overall.
Redefining Progress
. Reports and analyses. A non-profit organization with headquarters in Oakland, California. See also: Publications of Redefining Progress
Minnesota's Progress Indicator
Further Information
Get more info on 'Genuine Progress Indicator'.
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